Central bank tapering refers to the gradual reduction of asset purchases (like bonds) that were earlier used to inject liquidity into the economy. When tapering begins, it typically leads to lower liquidity in the stock market, as there is less money flowing from institutional investors, banks, and financial institutions.
What is tapering in monetary policy?
Tapering is when a central bank, like the RBI or the US Federal Reserve, slows down its purchase of financial assets such as government bonds or mortgage-backed securities. This is done when the economy is strong enough and doesn’t need as much support. Tapering reduces the amount of money injected into the system.
How does tapering affect stock market liquidity?
When tapering happens, the central bank reduces its support for the market. This means:
- Less liquidity: Institutions have less money to invest in stocks.
- Higher interest rates: Bond yields may rise, making bonds more attractive than stocks.
- Volatility increases: Stock markets often react nervously to tapering news, leading to short-term volatility.
Liquidity in the market shrinks, and stocks may see less buying support from large funds.
What happens to investor sentiment during tapering?
Investor sentiment often becomes cautious during tapering. Here’s what usually happens:
- Profit booking: Traders may sell high-performing stocks fearing liquidity issues.
- Defensive shift: Investors may shift towards safer assets like bonds, gold, or fixed income.
- Less risk appetite: High-growth or speculative stocks may see outflows.
However, if tapering is gradual and clearly communicated, markets tend to adjust over time.
Central bank tapering is a powerful signal to markets. It indicates confidence in economic recovery, but also signals less easy money. As liquidity tightens, stock markets may face temporary pressure. Investors need to watch central bank signals, interest rate trends, and macroeconomic indicators closely to make informed decisions during tapering phases.
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