How do I analyze seasonal price movements in commodity markets?

By PriyaSahu

To understand seasonal price movements in commodities, you need to look at how prices go up or down during certain months every year. These movements happen because of reasons like weather changes, crop harvests, festivals, or demand patterns. If you know when prices usually rise or fall, you can plan better trades and earn profits more smartly.



What is seasonal movement in commodity prices?

Seasonal movement means price changes that happen again and again every year at the same time. For example, during harvest season, the price of crops like wheat or sugar may go down because supply increases. Later, prices go up again when supply gets low. These cycles help traders make better decisions.



Why do seasonal price movements happen?

These price changes happen because of natural or social events like weather, planting and harvesting, or festival demand. For example, cotton prices may rise before the Diwali season because of high textile demand. Understanding these reasons helps you prepare your trades early.



How can you find seasonal patterns?

Look at old price charts of the commodity for the last few years. If you see prices rising or falling around the same time each year, that’s a seasonal pattern. Some tools and apps can also show these patterns clearly to help you trade better.



Which commodities show strong seasonal trends?

Crops like wheat, sugar, soyabean, and cotton show strong seasonal moves. Even gas and oil prices change with weather. For example, natural gas prices go up in winter because people use more heating. These trends repeat almost every year.



How does seasonality help in trading?

If you know when prices usually rise or fall, you can plan your buy and sell better. For example, if you expect wheat prices to rise in February, you can buy early and sell later. This helps reduce losses and increase profits.



Can festivals or weather change seasonal trends?

Yes, festivals can increase demand and push prices up for a short time. Weather like floods or droughts can delay harvests and change usual patterns. So, always keep an eye on the news and weather along with seasonal charts.



How can beginners use seasonal trends easily?

Start with one or two commodities like sugar or wheat. Watch how prices change during different months. Use this learning to take small trades. With time, you’ll understand more patterns and get better at timing your trades.



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