What is the significance of peak-to-trough volatility in portfolio management?

By PriyaSahu

Peak-to-trough volatility in portfolio management tells you how much your investments can fall from their highest value to the lowest before recovering. It helps investors understand how much risk they are taking. By tracking this fall, also called "drawdown", you can protect your money better, plan smart strategies, and avoid panic decisions during market drops. This is very important for building a stable and strong portfolio.



What Is Peak-to-Trough Volatility?

Peak-to-trough volatility means how much your portfolio or investment drops from its highest point (peak) to its lowest point (trough) before going back up. This drop shows the risk level and how bad a fall can get in tough times. It’s not just about how much return you get, but also how much fall you can handle on the way.


For example, if your portfolio value was ₹10 lakh and it fell to ₹7 lakh, your drawdown is ₹3 lakh or 30%. This shows how much loss you would face if you stayed invested during the fall. It helps you know what to expect in worst-case situations.



Why Should You Know About It?

Knowing peak-to-trough volatility helps you prepare for losses. Even if your investment grows over time, the journey won’t always be smooth. Sometimes, big market crashes or news events can cause your investment to fall sharply. If you know how much your portfolio can drop, you can plan better and stay calm during market falls.


This is also useful if you're close to retirement or saving for a goal. You can choose safer investments with smaller drawdowns so that your money stays protected and your plans are not affected much during bad market times.



How Is It Calculated?

It is very simple. The formula is:

Drawdown = (Peak Value − Trough Value) ÷ Peak Value × 100

Let’s say your investment was at a high of ₹1,00,000 and then it dropped to ₹70,000. So your drawdown is:

(1,00,000 − 70,000) ÷ 1,00,000 × 100 = 30%

This means you lost 30% from the top. You will need a return of around 42.85% to come back to your original value. That’s why understanding this number matters a lot.



How Does It Affect Your Strategy?

When you know your portfolio’s peak-to-trough volatility, you can build a better plan. For example, if a fund gives 12% return but has a 50% drawdown, it might not suit someone who wants low risk. Another fund with 10% return and 15% drawdown could be better for that person. So you can choose your investments based on your risk comfort.

It also helps you avoid panic decisions. If you already know your investment might fall 20-30% during bad times, you are mentally prepared and more likely to stay invested rather than exiting in loss.



How to Use It in Real Life?

Let’s say you are planning for your child’s education and have 5 years left. You will prefer funds with low drawdown so that your money is safe even if the market goes down. Or if you are a young investor and can take more risk, you can go for high-return funds with slightly more drawdown.

In both cases, knowing the peak-to-trough fall helps you select the right fund or asset class. It also helps you balance between equity, debt, and other investments to match your needs and risk level.



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